Can you say Carlos Gomez...?????
HIT 'EM WHERE THEY AINT
April 6, 2008
2008 Rookie of the Year Outlook: the AL Final Four
Count me among the overwhelming majority of college basketball fans that expected Kansas and Memphis to be spectators at tomorrow nights National Championship game. Who could have expected Memphis to shoot 77 percent for charity when it counted most –other than John Calipari and Mark Cohen? Not to be outdone, the Kansas Jayhawks would open their semifinal with the most dominant onslaught the Final Four has ever seen. With my bracket decimated and my beloved UNC-Wilmington Seahawks nowhere to be found in postseason play, it’s clearly time to jump into the baseball season with both feet.
In light of my failed attempt to put together a winning bracket, I’m going to seek redemption in narrowing down this years top candidates for AL and NL Rookie of the Year. Here are my final four in each division:
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Buchholz vs Chamberlain
Yep, I found a way to work the games oldest rivalry into a ROY preview. For the first time in recent memory the Yankees can make a valid argument for growing as much talent as they buy. The Yanks boast some of the best young arms in all of baseball and Joba is at the top of the list. Both Buchholz and Chamberlain have future ace potential- the difference here is opportunity. Chamberlain could be stuck in a setup role deep into the heart of the summer- and while his peripherals will be nothing short of stellar, relief pitchers simply don't garner ROY votes. Buchholz should be equally impressive while going six or seven innings deep every five days for the chalk of the AL East.
Longoria vs Barton
This matchup is a battle of two vastly different players. Longoria is a freeswinger with monster power potential while Barton takes a decidedly more selective approach at the plate, showing predominantly gap power at this stage of his career. Barton is widely considered to have a much lower ceiling than the likes of Longoria and fellow first basemen Joey Votto and James Loney, but I'm not so quick to write him off for a darkhorse run at ROY. His career .414 OBP over three levels outshines his underwhelming 37 homeruns in 1480 at-bats. Barton is just 22 years old and had more plate dicipline at 18 than Longoria will ever have. He has proven he can hit at every level and left no doubt that he's ready to hit in the big leagues when he posted a .347 batting average in a brief stint with the A's in 07'. The power will inevitably come around, though he's unlikely to ever top 25 HR's in a season. My money is on Barton to hover around the .300 mark all season while adding 70+ walks, 15 home runs and 80 RBI. Not an eye-popping line, but Barton has the potential to really throw himself into contention if he pushes his average to the .310-.320 range by seasons end.
Buchholz vs Barton
In the end, doubles and OBP just aren't sexy enough to outshine Buchholz' 15 wins, 180 strikeouts and sub-4 ERA for the American League Champion Boston Red Sox. The not-so-distant memory of a no-hitter certainly won't hurt his case either. Clay Buchholz is the AL Rookie of the Year.
by John Thornton
Tarrell Graham
THE WARNING TRACK
Clay Buccholz (SP) Boston Red Sox
Clay Buccholz (SP) Boston Red Sox
John Thornton
Joba Chamberlain (SP) New York Yankees
Clay Buccholz (SP) Boston Red Sox
Daric Barton (1B) Oakland Athletics
Evan Longoria (3B) Tampa Bay Rays
Daric Barton (1B) Oakland Athletics
Want to Write for Elite?
EliteFantasyBaseball.com is looking for 2-3 more writers to contribute a weekly or bi-weekly column to the site. If you're interested in writing for one of the fastest growing Fantasy Baseball sites on the net, contact us today at commissioner@elitefantasybaseball.com!
Comments
-
(Posted on 2008-04-08 17:44:00 by )
-
i had the 2 dog over the 4/8 and the chalk never showed
(Posted on 2008-04-08 12:47:00 by ) -
We all still love Eva.........The Clay has turned to Mold.
(Posted on 2008-04-07 16:44:00 by )


I have Ellsbury as my ROY pick. 88% contact rate will translate to a .300 avg. by the end of the year and he will swipe 30+ easily. I know that it looks like I am saying this now, but I wrote it up in my articles as well for www.baseballguys.com. I cover the Rookie Report in there and had Ellsbury as the #1 slated fantasy impact OF. I just didn't think Bruce, Rasmus, etc. were quite as ready. Barton is a glorified doubles hitter in a giant stadium. I screwed up having him slated over Votto. I want that pick back. I know that I drafted Longoria and have him in the elite league, but he hasn't adjusted yet and is striking out too much. I'm hoping he figured it out in the second half, somewhat similar to what Gordon did last year.
Once again, nice write-up. Keep up the good work.